DB
Dare Bioscience, Inc. (DARE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 showed modest royalty revenue ($25.4K) and materially lower operating spend, with G&A down 14% YoY and R&D down 31% YoY; net loss improved to $(4.38)M and EPS to $(0.50) from $(0.81) in Q1 2024 .
- Management unveiled an expanded dual-path commercialization strategy: launch four “on-market” solutions in 2025–2026 via 503B compounding and consumer channels, with Dare expecting to start recording revenue in Q4 2025; Phase 3 protocol for Sildenafil Cream targeted for submission by end of Q2 2025; Ovaprene DSMB safety review slated for July 2025 .
- Liquidity tightened: cash fell to $10.3M (from $15.7M at 12/31/24) and working capital deficit widened to $(9.37)M; balance sheet underscores urgency for non-dilutive funding and near‑term revenue execution .
- Management positioned women’s health as a differentiated upside category and emphasized telehealth/online distribution partnerships; key stock catalysts: 503B launch preparations, multiple partnership announcements, Ovaprene DSMB review in July, and FDA feedback on Phase 3 Sildenafil Cream .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Operating discipline: G&A fell to $2.31M (−14% YoY) and R&D to $2.30M (−31% YoY), improving operating loss to $(4.58)M and narrowing net loss to $(4.38)M .
- Strategic expansion: “Four on-market products” plan to accelerate revenue with 503B compounding for Sildenafil Cream in 2025, DARE‑HRT1 in 2026, and probiotics as consumer products in 2025; “We expect to start recording revenue in the fourth quarter of this year” .
- Pipeline momentum: Ovaprene Phase 3 ongoing with DSMB review scheduled for July; Sildenafil Cream Phase 3 protocol/statistical plan targeted for end of Q2; incremental federal/NIAID support for DARE‑HPV increased program resourcing .
Quote: “We’re leveraging a dual path strategy where we commercialize via 503B compounding while continuing to seek FDA approval… Four on‑market products will accelerate revenue generation and provide a path to profitability” .
What Went Wrong
- Liquidity pressure: Cash declined to $10.33M and working capital deficit widened to $(9.37)M by 3/31/25, increasing near-term funding risk absent revenue ramp or additional financing .
- Revenue still de minimis: Total revenue was $25.4K (royalties), limiting scale benefits; other income aided bottom line, but core monetization remains ahead of plan .
- External headwinds: Prior commentary flagged first‑quarter disruptions and federal funding uncertainty impacting Ovaprene NICHD activities; emphasizes sensitivity to macro/government dynamics for development timelines .
Financial Results
Note: Q4 2024 quarterly breakdown was not disclosed; FY 2024 details provided below .
KPIs and balance sheet trend:
FY 2024 (context):
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We expect to start recording revenue in the fourth quarter of this year.” — Sabrina Johnson (CEO), prepared remarks .
- “We’re leveraging a dual path strategy where we commercialize via 503B compounding while continuing to seek FDA approval.” — Sabrina Johnson (CEO) .
- “Four on‑market products will accelerate revenue generation and provide a path to profitability.” — Q1 press release .
- “Targeting submission of additional information requested by the FDA, along with the protocol and statistical analysis plan for the Phase 3 study, by the end of the second quarter of 2025.” — Q1 PR/update and call .
- “Review of interim data by the study’s data safety monitoring board… scheduled for July 2025.” — Q1 PR/8‑K .
Q&A Highlights
- Partnerships: Expect several partnerships per product and across platforms to maximize access via telehealth and online distribution .
- 503B manufacturing timeline: GMP scale‑up at the outsourcing facility, partnership build‑out, and provider education drive Q4 availability for Sildenafil Cream .
- Industry feedback: Traditional pharma responded positively to the creative dual‑path approach to accelerate access while continuing FDA approval efforts .
- FDA requests: April request on PRO psychometrics; company targeting submission of further info plus protocol/SAP by end of Q2 2025 .
- Ovaprene DSMB: Focused on safety/integrity; no statistical analysis of Pearl Index and no sample size changes at the interim .
- Spend outlook: R&D lower given limited active studies (primarily Ovaprene, largely grant‑funded); trend to persist until new studies commence .
- Cost to enable 503B: ~$1M for Sildenafil Cream start‑up/tech transfer to 503B; HRT1 expected in similar single‑digit millions range .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q1 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable; no published quarterly consensus to assess beat/miss.
- Implication: With no Street anchors, focus shifts to execution milestones (503B readiness, partnerships, DSMB review, protocol submission) and liquidity runway.
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near‑term catalysts: Phase 3 protocol/SAP submission for Sildenafil Cream by end Q2 2025; Ovaprene DSMB safety review in July; multiple partnership announcements across telehealth/retail; 503B launch preparation for Q4 revenue start .
- Liquidity watch: Cash fell to $10.3M with working capital deficit of $(9.37)M; timely non‑dilutive funding and early commercialization execution are critical to sustain operations into 2026 .
- Strategy differentiation: Dual‑path (503B + FDA) plus consumer probiotics expands addressable channels and may accelerate cash generation while preserving regulatory value creation .
- Development risk: FDA endpoint alignment and PRO psychometrics for Sildenafil Cream, and Ovaprene Phase 3 outcomes remain pivotal value inflection points; DSMB is safety‑focused (no efficacy read) .
- Execution priorities: 503B tech transfer/manufacturing, provider education (e.g., ACOG presence), and telehealth integration will drive launch quality and uptake .
- Grant tailwinds: ARPA‑H (up to $10M) plus NIAID (up to $2M) bolster DARE‑HPV non‑clinical and clinical advancement, diversifying pipeline momentum .
- Risk overlay: Company‑disclosed risks include going concern/capital needs, Nasdaq listing risk, reliance on third parties/outsourcing facilities, and regulatory pathway uncertainty—keep position sizing disciplined until revenue visibility improves .